The post One MLB Prospect For Each Team Looking Forward To Brighter Days In 2025 appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>Sometimes, they have bad seasons.
But the everyday grind of baseball offers the daily chance at redemption.
In this post, we highlight one player in each organization who is looking forward to brighter days ahead next season. That’s because the 2024 season has been a wash, whether because of performance, injury or suspension.
Jordan Lawlar, SS
Lawlar made his MLB debut in September 2023 and appeared on all four of Arizona’s postseason rosters as the club won the NL pennant. He entered the 2024 season as the D-backs’ heir apparent at shortstop, if not on Opening Day then soon. Instead, the season has been a washout for Lawlar, who tore a thumb ligament in the spring and has dealt with recurring hamstring injuries that have limited him to just four games at Triple-A Reno. Lawlar is a prime candidate for an offseason assignment to pick up reps ahead of 2025.
David McCabe, 3B/1B
McCabe hit well as an older player in pitcher-friendly Class A leagues in 2023 but missed the first four months of this season after having Tommy John surgery in February. He returned to Double-A Mississippi as a DH on July 30 as the 24-year-old looks forward to proving his bat at the upper levels in 2025.
Max Wagner, 3B/2B
The Orioles have had a lot of things work out this season, both in MLB and the minor leagues. Wagner is one exception. While the 2022 Atlantic Coast Conference player of the year and Baltimore second-rounder was not expected to be a major factor this season, his effort has been completely short-circuited by injuries. He had surgery on his hamate bone in the offseason and has missed all but 25 games this season with a back injury.
Nazzan Zanetello, SS
The Red Sox knew it would take to develop Zanetello after they drafted him in the second round out of high school in 2023 and signed him for $3 million. A lot of work remains to be done after the athletic shortstop hit .163 with a 41% strikeout rate through 69 games at Low-A Salem.
BJ Murray, 3B
Murray hit 16 home runs and drew 82 walks for Double-A Tennessee in 2023 and appeared in the Futures Game. His bat never really got going at Triple-A Iowa this season despite showing his trademark control of the strike zone. Murray hit .204/.320/.348 with 11 homers in 88 games prior to being demoted back to Double-A.
Montgomery has struggled with the automated ball-strike system at Triple-A, with older pitchers working him backwards and potentially dealing with the after effects of back and oblique injuries in 2023. It has all added up to a forgettable debut season at Triple-A this year in which he hit .210/.326/.375 with 14 home runs through 107 games for Charlotte.
Connor Phillips, RHP
Phillips thrived with the pre-tacked ball in the Double-A Southern League in the first half of 2023, but his walk rate regressed at Triple-A in the second half. That trend continued this season at Louisville, where his 16.6% walk rate ranked among the highest at Triple-A. Phillips’ path forward could require overpowering hitters in shorter stints.
Daniel Espino, RHP
Espino’s season ended before it began when he had shoulder surgery in March to repair his capsule and rotator cuff. It’s the latest setback in the career of a young pitcher who struck out 152 batters in 91.2 innings in 2021. But a series of season-ending injuries means that Espino has not appeared in a game since April 29, 2022.
Adael Amador, 2B
Amador made his MLB debut in June, but aside from that 10-game trial, it has been a forgettable season for the 21-year-old who entered the year as the Rockies’ No. 1 prospect. Through 86 games for Double-A Hartford, Amador hit .218/.336/.362 with 12 home runs and 31 stolen bases.
Troy Melton, RHP
Melton found success in 2023 as a college pitcher at a pair of Class A levels, posting a 2.74 ERA with a strikeout per inning and just five home runs allowed in 92 innings. His home run rate has regressed hard to the mean at Double-A Erie this season, where he has allowed 19 of them through 100.2 innings. The good news for Melton is that his strikeout and walk rates remain strong.
Kenedy Corona, OF
Corona has a strong defensive reputation and handled center field regularly for Double-A Corpus Christi. His offensive upside is less certain based on substandard bat-to-ball skills, propensity to chase and high groundball rate. He hit .219/.326/.298 in 78 games for Corpus Christi prior to a late promotion to Triple-A Sugar Land.
Frank Mozzicato, LHP
Mozzicato’s control has never been pristine, but throwing strikes has been a major issue since he reached High-A Quad Cities in the second half of 2023. His velocity is down this season, and he lacks a putaway pitch, meaning that he has tended to nibble. Mozzicato has a 3.75 ERA through 93.2 innings, with 79 strikeouts and 62 walks.
Kyren Paris, 2B
Paris made his MLB debut late in the 2023 season but failed to capitalize on that this season. He began 2024 back at Double-A Rocket City, received a 21-game callup to Anaheim in May, which was followed by a demotion to Triple-A Salt Lake in June. Paris hit just .168/.246/.275 in 42 minor league games and has been on the Salt Lake injured list since July 11. He should get another MLB shot next season as a 23-year-old.
Maddux Bruns, LHP
It’s been a newsworthy year for Dodgers pitching prospects. Landon Knack and Justin Wrobleski made their MLB debuts. Nick Frasso had season-ending shoulder surgery in February, while Kyle Hurt and River Ryan had Tommy John surgery during the season. Bruns, meanwhile, got a late start at High-A Great Lakes, then missed June and July with a back injury before returning in August. His stuff misses bats—37 strikeouts in 28.1 innings—but his 15.6% walk rate remains too high and pushes his pitch counts to the extreme too early in starts.
Dillon Head, OF
Drafted in the first round in 2023 by the Padres, Head joined the Marlins in the May trade that sent Luis Arraez to San Diego. He played in 26 games this season—just five for the Marlins—before having season-ending hip surgery in June. Head is a speed-and-defense-forward player with a chance to hit.
Brock Wilken, 3B
The Brewers drafted Wake Forest slugger at No. 18 overall in 2023, intrigued by his ready-made power. While Wilken has been serviceable for Double-A Biloxi this season, the Brewers were expecting more than a .210/.321/.374 batting line with 15 home runs and a strikeout rate near 27% through 94 games.
The Twins’ top two young hitters, Walker Jenkins and Rodriguez, have been hampered by injuries this season. Jenkins is back and hitting with High-A Cedar Rapids. Rodriguez hasn’t played for Double-A Wichita since June 5 as he has dealt with a right thumb injury. He obliterated the Texas League while healthy—.298/.479/.621 in 37 games—but has now spent a chunk of each of his four pro seasons on the injured list.
Jett Williams, SS
Williams had surgery on his right wrist in June but had not played since April 21. He returned to action on Aug. 21 and was still finding his groove after missing May, June, July and most of August. Williams is a prime candidate for an offseason assignment to the Arizona Fall League.
Everson Pereira, OF
Pereira hit well for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre for 40 games but was not able to gain additional MLB experience after making his debut in 2023. He had elbow surgery on June 14 to repair a torn ligament and will miss the rest of the season.
Myles Naylor, SS
The younger brother of Josh and Bo Naylor has had a rougher introduction to full-season ball than they did. Through 107 games at Low-A Stockton, Myles hit .195/.328/.326 with 10 home runs and a healthy 16% walk rate—but also a strikeout rate near 33%.
Mick Abel, RHP
Walks are a problem for many young power pitchers throwing to the automated ball-strike systems at Triple-A. Abel is no exception. His 15% walk rate and 5.88 ERA are among the highest at the level, a byproduct of advanced hitters staying in the strike zone more often. Abel just turned 23 years old and has a largely clean bill of health in pro ball, putting him in position to progress in 2025.
Anthony Solometo, LHP
Solometo reached Double-A Altoona as a 20-year-old in 2023 but has not made a smooth transition to to the level this season. Through 46.2 innings he had a 6.17 ERA for Altoona with 36 strikeouts and 32 walks. He didn’t record an out in the fifth inning until August. Solometo’s velocity is down and he spent time on the development list in June, but he’s young enough to get back on track next season.
Tekoah Roby, RHP
The Cardinals added Roby and Thomas Saggese when they dealt Jordan Montgomery to the Rangers at the 2023 trade deadline. Roby made four promising starts for Double-A Springfield after the trade, but his followup effort has been a washout. Roby dealt with a back injury in the spring and missed more than three months while dealing with a shoulder injury. The 22-year-old has a checkered injury history but also has youth on his side.
Ethan Salas, C
Salas entered the season as a top 10 overall prospect but hasn’t hit enough to hold the line. Still, he’s an 18-year-old lefthanded-hitting catcher with a high level of defensive skill and maturity. As he gains physicality and reps, Salas will rebound from his current station. Through 103 games for High-A Fort Wayne, he hit .208/.293/.316 with four home runs.
Walker Martin, SS
Regarded as one of the best athletes in the 2023 draft, Martin set a Colorado state record for home runs as a high school senior. The Giants drafted him in the second round and paid him like a first-rounder, yet slow-played him in 2024 by assigning him to the Rookie-level Arizona Complex League. In August, Martin moved to Low-A San Jose, where his strikeout rate spiked to 51%.
Jonny Farmelo, OF
Drafted 29th overall in 2023, Farmelo hit .264/.398/.421 with four home runs and 18 stolen bases through 46 games for Low-A Modesto. But that’s when his season abruptly came to an end. Farmelo tore the anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee on June 11 while making a routine play in center field. He should be good to go at some point in 2025.
Dylan Lesko, RHP
The way scouts talked about Lesko leading up to the 2022 draft indicated he had special upside. It hasn’t played out that way in pro ball yet. Lesko had Tommy John surgery in the spring of his draft year, which dropped him to the Padres at No. 15 overall. At the July trade deadline, San Diego traded him to the Rays in the Jason Adam deal. It is shaping up as a lost year for Lesko, who has a 6.80 ERA through 82 innings this season. His 18% walk rate is one of the worst in the minors.
Brock Porter, RHP
The Rangers acquired Porter and Kumar Rocker as essentially a package deal in the 2022 draft. Rocker is beginning to gain helium following his recovery from Tommy John surgery, but for Porter it has been a lost season. He opened the season at High-A Hickory but showed diminished stuff and control, finishing the season in the Rookie-level Arizona Complex League.
Orelvis Martinez, 2B
Martinez bashed 16 home runs in 63 games for Triple-A Buffalo to earn his first big league callup on June 21. His victory was short-lived. Two days later, MLB announced an 80-game suspension for Martinez after he tested positive for the performance-enhancing substance Clomiphene. He is eligible to return on Sept. 23.
The switch-hitting Cuban outfielder signed the highest bonus in the 2021 international period and embarked on his first year in a full-season league in 2024. It did not go well. Vaquero’s .583 OPS was one of the lowest marks for a regular in Low-A. He hit .181/.283/.301 with five home runs in 97 games for Fredericksburg.
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]]>The post Ranking College Football’s Best Baseball Players In 2024 appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>As a Boston College fan, there hasn’t been a whole lot to cheer about since the Matt Ryan days, but Bill O’Brien is building a monster and I—like I have done every single year—have convinced myself the Eagles will go 10-2.
An underrated aspect of college football, though, is that there are a number of athletes who either still play baseball or had illustrious playing careers in high school. To take it a step further, one player listed below even logged 50 games in the majors. The inimitable Teddy Cahill used to put this piece out annually, and I must admit that this was a ton of fun to put together. The players are in no particular order, and you can expect to see them all make an impact on the gridiron, and in some cases on the diamond, this fall and spring.
Harrison has had the most unique career path of any of the 10 players listed, and it is one that will be difficult to top. He was a second-round draft pick out of Lee’s Summit West High School in Missouri, but he was also a four-star wide receiver with a plethora of high-profile offers. Harrison signed with the Marlins and eventually made his MLB debut in 2020, appearing in 50 games between 2020 and 2022. He accumulated an underwhelming career slash line of .176/.253/.294, but he homered twice and drove in six runs. Harrison was released by the Brewers last fall, and last spring he announced his intention to walk onto the Arkansas football team.
At 29-years-old, Harrison is by far the oldest true freshman in the country. He showed flashes of his explosive athleticism last spring and will look to earn reps for the Razorbacks as the season progresses.
Sanders saw limited playing time on the diamond as a freshman and went just 1-for-18 on the season, but he was in the Longhorns’ opening day lineup and went 1-for-3 with an RBI single to drive in their first run of the season. He proceeded to have a brief, yet productive, stint in the California Collegiate League in which he went 8-for-23 (.348) with four doubles and three RBIs across nine games. Sanders is plenty physical with no shortage of arm strength, and this summer he announced that he would be joining the No. 4 ranked Texas football team. He’s listed as a running back on the roster and will see limited—if any—playing time.
In addition to being ranked the No. 70 overall draft prospect on the 2023 BA 500, Grant was also a four-star wide receiver who, in addition to UCLA, held offers from Arizona, Boise State Colorado and others. He is an exceptional athlete with no shortage of raw tools, though they have yet to translate to the baseball field collegiately. Gray appeared in just one game for the Bruins last fall and did not see the field in the spring. He will look to earn more reps for both teams in their respective seasons.
At 6-foot-4 and 301 pounds, Malone is a mountain of a man and as physical as they come. A product of football powerhouse Bergen Catholic (NJ), Malone was a four-star star football recruit who held every offer under the sun. He committed to Mississippi to play both baseball and football, and as a true freshman he both saw time on the football field and went 4-for-9 (.444) with two home runs on the Rebels’ national championship team. Malone appeared in 13 games on the gridiron as a sophomore and hit another home run in the spring, but proceeded to enter the transfer portal where he would eventually commit to Ohio State.
Although Malone has hung up his baseball cleats, he possessed double-plus raw power and the ability to generate tremendous impact. He will be a part of the second-ranked Buckeyes’ defensive line this spring as they look to win their first national title since 2014.
Uiagalelei was the top-ranked quarterback in the 2020 class and has thrown for over 8,500 yards and 57 touchdowns in his college career, but he was also a standout righthander for St. John Bosco (Calif.). His outstanding arm strength and physical 6-foot-4, 250-pound frame translated well to the mound, where he ran his fastball into the mid-90s and was eventually drafted by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 20th round of the 2023 draft. Uiagalelei has long been focused on football, but he would be an intriguing late-inning option for the Seminoles.
Robinson was ranked the No. 156 overall prospect on the 2023 BA 500, but was also a five-star football recruit and the top-ranked tight end in the country. He announced his intention to play professional baseball and college football, but went undrafted. Robinson was an immediate contributor for the Trojans last fall, catching 16 passes for 351 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He logged just six at-bats in the spring, but laced four extra base hits and drove in nine runs across 19 games this summer in the California Collegiate League.
Robinson is a 6-foot-6 Adonis with freakish athleticism and big-time raw power. His long term future looks to be on the football field, but he will look to be a productive member for the Trojans this spring on the diamond.
Vaughns has been a four-year member of the UCLA football and baseball teams. A linebacker and outfielder, Vaughns has an impressive combination of athleticism and physicality. He has collected 109 career tackles with a pair of interceptions, and across 158 games on the diamond he has accumulated 38 extra-base hits with 72 RBIs. In what has been the case in each of the last four years, Vaughns in 2024 will again be a key dual-sport contributor for the Bruins.
Ashford was one of the best pure athletes in the 2020 class and was a four-star dual-threat quarterback on top of being ranked inside the top 250 on the BA 500. He was invited to participate in the Under Armour All-America game for both baseball and football, a feat that has only been accomplished by the likes of A.J. Brown and Kyler Murray. It has been a tumultuous college career for Ashford, though. After not seeing the field in the fall and logging just 35 at-bats as a freshman, Ashford eventually transferred to Auburn and decided to focus solely on football.
He played his way into a starting role in 2022, but in 2023 saw limited action. For the second time in three years, Ashford hit the portal and committed to South Carolina. He heads into week one as the Gamecocks’ backup quarterback.
Shapen ranked No. 371 on the 2020 BA 500, but he shifted his focus entirely to football after high school. He redshirted as a true freshman, and in 2021 he led Baylor to a Big 12 championship after Gerry Bohanon went down with an injury. Between 2022 and 2023, Shapen threw for 4,978 yards with 31 touchdowns. He will spend his last season at Mississippi State and is slated to be the Bulldogs’ QB1.
Before Beck cemented himself as one of the premier quarterbacks in the 2020 class, he was committed to play baseball at Florida. On the diamond, his 6-foot-4 frame combined with arm strength and above-average raw power made for a pretty solid foundation for Beck to hypothetically play in a corner outfield spot. With that being said, I think it’s pretty safe to say he made the right choice to focus on football.
Beck took the reins of Georgia’s offense last season and completed over 72% of his passes for 3,941 yards and 24 touchdowns. He will again be the top-ranked Bulldogs’ starting quarterback and is one of the favorites to take home the Heisman Trophy.
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]]>The post Draft Podcast: Learning Lessons From Previous Drafts & Impact 2025 Arms To Know appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The two talk about Rhett Lowder’s promotion to the majors and how his career has thus far played out as expected while also talking through the recent heater that Cubs 2024 first-rounder Cam Smith has been on.
The two then discuss lessons learned from previous drafts and draft prospects, including how to deal with anchoring biases and weighting performance, prospect fatigue and over- or under-reacting to changes in player performance and tools.
The show closes with some conversation about a handful of the top 2025 prospects in the class, including South Carolina’s Ethan Petry and a 1-2 pitching punch of Tyler Bremner (UC Santa Barbara) and Jamie Arnold (Florida State).
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The post Draft Podcast: Learning Lessons From Previous Drafts & Impact 2025 Arms To Know appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The post Kumar Rocker Pitches Toward Top 100, Rangers’ 2025 Plans appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>As the College World Series wrapped up with Vanderbilt celebrating a national title, Rocker looked like the best pitcher in the U.S. who wasn’t pitching in the major leagues.
He’s looking like that once again. In his Triple-A debut, Rocker struck out 10 of the 16 batters he faced. He allowed just one hit (on a comebacker that hit him) in five innings.
Rocker’s dominance continued what he showed in Double-A. In his five Double-A starts, Rocker allowed just nine hits, three walks and one run in 19.2 innings. He struck out 29. In Double-A and Triple-A this year, Rocker has a 0.36 ERA, a .119 opponents average and a 44.8% strikeout percentage.
As good as the numbers are, Rocker’s stuff has been better. He’s sitting at 97-98 mph with his fastball and touching 100 mph. His mid-80s power slider/curve (it has a slider’s power but the straight downward break of a curveball) passes every aspect of the eye test, but its results barely seem credible. Since he reached Double-A, he’s getting swings and misses on nearly 40% of his breaking ball. The median swing and miss rate for sliders in the minors is 16%.
In other words, Rocker looks again like the dominant pitcher who vaulted onto the national stage as a freshman at Vanderbilt in 2019.
See our latest Top 100 as the 2024 minor league season winds to a close.
Five years ago, Rocker became nationally famous by putting together a stretch of dominance that is rarely seen in college baseball. He threw a 19-strikeout no-hitter in an do-or-die Super Regional game against Duke. He then allowed one run in six innings to beat Mississippi State in Omaha, and followed it up by allowing one run in 6.1 innings while striking out 11 in a do-or-die CWS finals game against Michigan.
And until now, he has struggled to regain that level of dominance. The coronavirus pandemic derailed his 2020 season. In 2021, he showed flashes of that greatness, but the quality of his stuff varied from outing to outing. The Mets drafted him No. 10 that year, but lowered their offer after a post-draft medical.
Rocker declined to sign. He went to pitch in the Frontier League for a few showcase starts before the Rangers drafted him third overall in the 2022 draft. Rocker made his pro debut in the Arizona Fall League, where he looked rusty and wild.
After six starts at High-A Hickory in 2023, Rocker was shut down and had Tommy John surgery. While that was a setback, it seems to have served as a fulcrum point for his bounceback.
He’s healthy again. Coming back from the elbow surgery, Rocker’s stuff has a power and consistency that was sometimes lacking in 2021, 2022 and 2023. There were times in his final year at Vanderbilt where he’s sit at 90-91 mph for innings, even if there were other times that he’d touch 99 mph. This year, his fasbtall is sitting 1-2 mph harder than he maxed out at in 2023.
The added velocity makes his fastball play better. It also added even more power to his already impressive breaking ball. No one hit Rocker’s breaking ball in college, and pro hitters aren’t having any more luck. Synergy Sport data had hitters hitting .071/.113/.071 against his slider this year.
Prior to the season, Rocker hadn’t been on a mound consistently in three seasons. He faced questions about whether he could regain his previous level of dominance.
Now, he looks like one of the best pitchers in the minor leagues, and one who should play a significant role in the Rangers’ big league plans in 2025.
The post Kumar Rocker Pitches Toward Top 100, Rangers’ 2025 Plans appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The post These 10 Pitching Prospects Emerged As Unlikely Breakouts In 2024 appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>We often fall in love with the loud spring performer, or the high-upside prep who signed for overslot money later in the draft. But instead, breakouts often come from older pitchers who have figured something out. It could be a new pitch, added velocity, a new plan of attack or even a change in pitch usage.
The unpredictable nature of baseball and player development makes following the game, and more specifically prospects, a fun guessing game. Among the 10 pitchers discussed today, few people outside of their own families would have pegged them for potential future stardom. Yet they are all among the best minor league performers in 2024.
Alejandro Rosario, RHP, Rangers
It’s remarkable what a small tweak in usage can do for pitchers coming into professional baseball out of college. Rosario is one such case, as a drop in fastball usage has led to a substantial improvement in results.
While at Miami, Rosario used his fastball 68% of the time in 2023. That number has dropped to 54% since making his pro debut. Rosario is still fastball-dominant, but he’s becoming far less predictable with the pitch. It doesn’t hurt that Rosario has two secondaries that have average or better stuff that play off of his fastball.
Rosario has generated high rates of chase swings against both his slider (39.1%) and changeup (38.9%), helping to boost the swing-and-miss numbers and overall results. There’s potentially some tunneling effects going on. Both pitches have strong vertical separation off of his fastball, though the release heights vary slightly. Rosario fastball shape is below-average on its face, with equal vertical and horizontal movement. When you dig deeper, you see his 5-foot-4 fastball release height creates a flatter plane of approach. This allows the power and above-average armside run to play.
Rosario has an interesting arsenal, he’s throwing consistent strikes and generating swings and misses. This looks like a legitimate breakout.
K.C. Hunt, RHP, Brewers
The Brewers seem to do the best job of any organization of turning college relievers into potential starting pitching prospects. Hunt spent four seasons in Mississippi State’s bullpen before signing with the Brewers as a nondrafted free agent in 2023. Hunt has leaned into his slider usage as a professional and it has yielded great results.
After beginning the season as a reliever in Low-A, Hunt was promoted to High-A Wisconsin and made three multi-inning relief appearances before joining the Timber Rattlers rotation on June 6. Since then, Hunt has made 11 starts across High-A and Double-A posting a 2.06 ERA, 2.70 FIP, with a 33.2% strikeout rate to a 5.8% walk rate. He’s showing the ability to go deep into starts despite limited starting experience. Over those 11 starts, Hunt has gone five or more innings in 10 of those games.
After using his fastball more than his slider in college, Hunt now most frequently deploys his slider. It’s slightly harder than it was in college, sitting 84-86 mph up from 81-83 mph at Mississippi State in 2023. Hunt’s slider is a pure gyro ball with high spin rates and late bite. Hunt’s fastball has good shape but below-average velocity and his curveball is a upper-70s downer curveball with depth.
Neither the fastball or curveball miss many bats, putting more focus on the slider. There’s a cutter mixed in that has shown solid results in limited usage. It’s an interesting development story but there’s some questions around how long this approach can work without an average or better second pitch.
Travis Sykora, RHP, Nationals
A few Nationals pitching prospects have turned in noteworthy performances (we’ll get to another below), but none more so than Sykora. The 6-foot-6 righty has a repeatable operation and has been arguably the top pitcher in the Low-A Carolina League. Over 18 starts spanning 78 innings, Sykora has a 2.13 ERA, 1.88 FIP and a 39.3% strikeout rate to a 7.7% walk rate.
Sykora has a true three-pitch mix made up of a four-seam fastball, a slider and a split changeup. The fastball is the standout pitch in Sykora’s arsenal sitting 94-95 mph touching 99 mph at peak. The pitch has just ordinary shape, plays up because of his above-average extension.
Sykora’s slider is his most-used secondary and is a good swing-and-miss pitch. The slider is a cutter style slider in the low-to-mid-80s that could add power in the coming years. Sykora’s splitter is his best-performing secondary with a swinging strike rate just below 30%. Batters also swing at his splitter most frequently, leading to lots of swings outside the zone and whiffs inside the zone.
Sykora’s size and feel for three above-average or better pitches make him one of the more high-upside breakouts of 2024.
Kohl Drake, LHP, Rangers
Drake fell flat in his 2023 professional debut, but has put together a nice 2024 campaign. He jumped three levels this season and reached Double-A, where he has struck out 37.2% of batters this season while holding opponents to a batting average of .199. Drake tossed six scoreless in his return to Double-A on Aug. 25 and should finish the season with Frisco.
Drake saw a velocity bump from his time in Juco, sitting 92-93 mph touching 96 mph at peak. A tall lefthander, Drake gets below-average extension on his fastball but does generate a solid amount of armside movement. The fastball sees a vast majority of Drake’s usage at around 55%. The rest are split between four secondaries: a curveball (13.8% usage), changeup (13.6% usage), slider (9.5% usage) and cutter (8.4% usage). All of his secondaries grade out at fringe-average or below, but he commands his fastball well, and mixes shapes keeping hitters off balance.
Drake has back-of-the-rotation or emergency starter upside. He likely lacks the fastball power or traits to sit in the middle of a big league rotation one day.
Ryan Lobus, RHP, Rangers
A 2023 nondrafted free agent from Mercer, Lobus was roughed up over two Arizona Complex League appearances in his debut that year. The Rangers assigned him to Low-A Down East out of camp this year, where he worked primarily as a multi-inning reliever. Lobus began to see more starts following a May 14 promotion to High-A Hickory. While a majority of Lobus’ outings are around four innings, he has shown the capacity to go longer.
Lobus is a true slider-first pitcher, throwing it more than 60% of the time. Lobus has two fastball shapes and combines to throw both only 28% of the time. Both pitches sit in the low 90s, but the two-seam shows some sink and run. Lobus also throws a splitter but it only generates fringy results.
Lobus’ slider generates most of his swings and misses with a 21% swinging strike rate. The slider is a classic low-80s sweeper and Lobus leans into its quality, showing advanced feel for the pitch. This likely won’t work as a starter as a professional, but Lobus could be an interesting multi-inning reliever with a signature pitch.
Trevor Harrison, RHP, Rays
Harrison was high school teammates with breakout Phillies prospect Aidan Miller. Harrison has enjoyed a breakout season in his own right, making eight strong appearances in the Florida Complex League before making the jump to Low-A on July 5.
The righthander has missed bats at a high rate across both levels, amassing a 14.2% swinging strike rate across all levels. He has struck out 28.5% of opposing batters but has been hittable at times, shown by his .252 batting average against. Some of that is bad luck and some of it is the predictability of Harrison’s pitch mix.
While Harrison’s mid-90s fastball has above-average stuff grades and solid results, he throws the pitch 70% of the time. This will likely iron itself out in time, as Harrison just turned 19 on Aug. 8 and his secondaries have shown average traits. Harrison’s mid-80s slider has gyro shape with slight cut, while his changeup has shown good velocity and vertical separation off of his fastball. He has toyed with a cutter as well but it has only been used sparingly.
Harrison has a starter’s build at 6-foot-4, 225 pounds but will need to show he can work deeper into starts in the coming years. Harrison is a young and exciting righthander with starter traits.
Carlson Reed, RHP, Pirates
A college reliever at West Virginia, the Pirates have deployed Reed as a starter in his first full pro season to strong results. He’s still getting acclimated to starting, but Reed has shown the ability to get deeper into outings, pitching into the fifth inning or later 11 times.
Reed mixes two fastball shapes at 92-93 mph with his two-seamer seeing the majority of the usage. Reed generates well above-average extension, helping to play up the downhill angle of his two-seamer. However, it’s the slider that is the primary weapon in Reed’s arsenal, generating whiffs at a greater than 50% rate. Reed’s slider is a harder sweeper at 83-85 mph with around a foot of sweep. While sweepers are often split dependent, Reed shows an above-average changeup that’s generated a 21.7% swinging strike rate against it.
Reed’s future as a starter is still uncertain, but his two-seam fastball generates ground balls at a 60% or better rate and he has two secondaries that drive whiffs. That profile can work in a variety of roles, it’s just a matter of Reed showing the ability to get through the order twice consistently.
Brandyn Garcia, LHP, Mariners
Signed in the 11th round out of Texas A&M in 2023, Garcia spent three seasons at Quinnipiac before transferring to Texas A&M. He worked exclusively as a reliever for the Aggies, and didn’t have particularly good results as an amateur with a 5.93 ERA across 148.2 collegiate innings. Garcia was drafted due to the quality and potential of his sinker and slider combination. This came to fruition in 2024, where Garcia has used his mid-90s sinker with true sink and heavy armside run to generate ground balls at a better than 60% rate this season.
His 85 mph slider is his primary swing-and-miss weapon and averages about 7-8 inches of sweep. Both Garcia’s sinker and slider grade out as above-average on Stuff+ models and his changeup, while infrequently used, has generated a similar groundball rate to his sinker.
A starter’s build at 6-foot-4 with a maxed out frame, Garcia has shown he can get deeper into starts during the middle part of this season. He’s been on a pitch count over the last month as his 104 innings this year are almost equal to his last two college seasons combined. The lefthander has the build stuff and ability to get whiffs and ground balls, Garcia has back-of-the-rotation upside.
Anderson Brito, RHP, Astros
Brito entered the year as a virtual unknown after signing out of Venezuela for just $10,000 during the 2023 international signing period. He has emerged as a true helium prospect.
Brito first dominated the Dominican Complex League before jumping stateside to the Florida Complex League for a scoreless four-inning performance. He was promoted again to Low-A Fayetteville, where he made six appearances to solid results. Brito has been limited to going through the order just about twice in each outing and has shown serious swing-and-miss skills, striking out 39.8% of batters across all levels.
His three-pitch mix gets strong Stuff+ grades across the board, but it’s his four-seam fastball that’s the current standout. Brito’s 95-96 mph fastball touches 99 with between 18-19 inches of ride and a flatter plane of approach. He generates serious power despite a smaller 5-foot-10 frame. His stature creates some concern–there are few MLB starters his size–and there are also questions about his current command execution of his secondaries.
Brito’s low-to-mid-80s sweeper slider grades out as well above-average on Stuff models, but has only produced average swing-and-miss numbers this season. His changeup is a work in progress but has gotten average results this season and is a part of his arsenal going forward. Brito made significant gains since signing and has the makings of a good three-pitch mix with a plus fastball.
His size and still-raw secondary command are working against him, but Brito is an interesting talent with big league potential.
Jarlin Susana, RHP, Nationals
Susana was a part of the Juan Soto return from the Padres. While he hasn’t reached the heights of James Wood, he’s a part of an exciting young crop of pitchers in the Nationals farm system.
Susana has long had elite power along his arsenal. In 2024, he’s commanding his stuff at a higher rate. The 6-foot-6 Susana has a career-low 11.2% walk rate this season with his highest strikeout rate since his professional debut, though in 2024 he’s thrown twice the innings. Susana has serious swing-and-miss stuff with two different fastball shapes sitting 99-100 mph touching as high as 103 mph this season. Susana has held the velocity deep into games as well, going five or more innings in 12 of his last 14 starts.
While Susana’s fastball velocity will capture your eyes and fix them to the radar gun readings, his slider is his best pitch. Sitting 88-90 mph touching 94-95 mph at peak, Susana’s cut-slider is thrown an equal amount to his fastballs and generates excellent results. Susana has generated swinging strikes at a rate of 24% against his slider this season with a high rate of chases as well. It’s proving to be a plus pitch per Stuff and the performance against it.
Susana also throws a firm low-90s changeup that has generated whiffs, though his command for the pitch comes and goes. Overall, Susana has turned a corner with the command of his plus stuff, allowing him to show deeper into outings. This was a big turn from a pitcher who looked headed to the bullpen last season. Susana now shows the traits of a future high octane midrotation starter.
The post These 10 Pitching Prospects Emerged As Unlikely Breakouts In 2024 appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The post With Early MLB Debuts From Paul Skenes & Others, The 2023 Draft Class Is Already Setting Records appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>It’s yet another data point that shows just how special the 2023 draft is shaping up to be. No other draft from the 21st century has seen this many draftees reach the majors so quickly.
Six first rounders have already played in the majors: Paul Skenes, (No. 1 pick), Dylan Crews (No. 2), Wyatt Langford (No. 4), Jacob Wilson (No. 6), Nolan Schanuel (No. 11), Hurston Waldrep (No. 24) and third-round pick Jake Bloss.
The last time that eight or more draftees reached the majors by the end of the following season was the 1989 draft when 10 draftees played in the majors in 1990, including Frank Thomas, John Olerud and Ben McDonald.
With a full month of games to go, the 1,077 combined MLB plate appearances from 2023 position players is the most from any draft class since 1985 and already the eighth most all-time. It has already topped the 2005 draft, which had held the 21st century record with 863 thanks to Ryan Zimmerman and Troy Tulowitzki. With just 103 more plate appearances, the 2023 draft will leap into the top five.
To put things into even more perspective, the more than 1,000 plate appearances by 2023 MLB draftees is more than the 2013, 2016, 2017, 2018 or 2019 drafts saw from position players in their draft year, their following season and the season after that.
The 1985 draft saw Barry Bonds, Barry Larkin, Pete Incaviglia, Rafael Palmeiro and Will Clark all see significant playing time as hitters, with seven players in all combining for 1,884 plate appearances. That same year also saw 403 innings pitched by draftees, primarily by Bobby Witt, Bruce Ruffin and Chuck Finley.
The 1973 draft set the record for most plate appearances by the end of the following year. Dave Winfield, Robin Yount, Jim Sundberg, Luis Gomez and Steve Swisher led the way as 11 players combined for 2,371 PAs.
It is notable that drafts in which players earn MLB playing time quickly are often the most star-studded classes. The 1973 draft tops the plate appearance chart and is led by a pair of Hall of Famers in Winfield and Yount. The 1970 draft didn’t have any Hall of Famers among its notable debutantes, but the third-place 1985 draft has Larkin to go with Bonds, who is an all-timer, even if he isn’t officially in the Hall of Fame. Ozzie Smith and Paul Molitor led the fourth-ranked 1977 draft.
Currently, the 122 innings so far pitched be 2023 draftees ranks 37th all-time and is 11th most in the 21st century.
Here’s a look at how many innings and at-bats each draft produced in the year following the draft, as well as notable players who debuted within the following season:
Draft Year | PAs | IP | Players | Notable Debuts |
1965 | 293 | 402 | 9 | Ken Holtzman, Rick Monday, Nolan Ryan |
1966 | 430 | 816 | 8 | Reggie Jackson, Gary Nolan |
1967 | 348 | 297 | 14 | Dusty Baker, Ted Simmons |
1968 | 198 | 41 | 11 | Oscar Gamble, Thurman Munson |
1969 | 1179 | 607 | 13 | Bert Blyleven, Don Gullett, Jeff Burroughs |
1970 | 2147 | 621 | 13 | Chris Chambliss, Chris Speier, Lenny Randle |
1971 | 847 | 1115 | 9 | Burt Hooton, Mike Schmidt |
1972 | 1169 | 420 | 10 | Dave Roberts, Randy Jones |
1973 | 2371 | 988 | 13 | Dave Winfield, Robin Yount, Dick Ruthven |
1974 | 604 | 183 | 8 | Roy Smalley |
1975 | 660 | 305 | 10 | Andre Dawson, Jason Thompson |
1976 | 404 | 952 | 10 | Alan Trammell, Floyd Bannister, Jack Morris |
1977 | 1409 | 565 | 11 | Ozzie Smith, Paul Molitor, Bob Welch |
1978 | 1028 | 343 | 13 | Kirk Gibson, Mike Morgan |
1979 | 245 | 137 | 9 | Steve Howe |
1980 | 106 | 19 | 4 | Terry Francona |
1981 | 214 | 341 | 6 | Tony Gwynn, Mike Moore |
1982 | 340 | 53 | 3 | Spike Owen |
1983 | 285 | 347 | 6 | Roger Clemens, Glenn Davis |
1984 | 452 | 120 | 2 | Bill Swift, Oddibe McDowell |
1985 | 1884 | 403 | 13 | Barry Bonds, Barry Larkin, Pete Incaviglia |
1986 | 1150 | 290 | 9 | Bo Jackson, Matt Williams |
1987 | 206 | 365 | 9 | Craig Biggio, Jack McDowell |
1988 | 238 | 382 | 8 | Andy Benes, Jim Abbott, Marquis Grissom |
1989 | 701 | 352 | 10 | Frank Thomas, Ben McDonald, John Olerud |
1990 | 37 | 848 | 9 | Alex Fernandez, Mike Mussina |
1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | None |
1992 | 251 | 0 | 2 | Jeffrey Hammonds |
1993 | 61 | 170 | 5 | Alex Rodriguez, Brian Anderson |
1994 | 53 | 102 | 3 | C.J. Nitkowski |
1995 | 229 | 183 | 2 | Darin Erstad |
1996 | 57 | 0 | 1 | Mark Kotsay |
1997 | 290 | 170 | 7 | Troy Glaus |
1998 | 475 | 197 | 4 | J.D. Drew |
1999 | 5 | 114 | 4 | Barry Zito |
2000 | 3 | 25 | 2 | Adam Johnson |
2001 | 74 | 214 | 3 | Mark Prior |
2002 | 84 | 39 | 2 | Khalil Greene |
2003 | 25 | 287 | 6 | Chad Cordero |
2004 | 77 | 237 | 6 | Justin Verlander, Huston Street |
2005 | 863 | 123 | 6 | Ryan Zimmerman, Troy Tulowitzki |
2006 | 62 | 383 | 7 | Andrew Miller, Tim Lincecum |
2007 | 0 | 28 | 4 | David Price |
2008 | 526 | 142 | 8 | Buster Posey, Gordon Beckham |
2009 | 97 | 323 | 5 | Stephen Strasburg, Mike Leake |
2010 | 7 | 166 | 5 | Chris Sale |
2011 | 6 | 82 | 6 | Trevor Bauer, Cody Allen |
2012 | 240 | 270 | 7 | Kevin Gausman, Michael Wacha |
2013 | 12 | 86 | 5 | Corey Knebel, Marco Gonzales |
2014 | 558 | 278 | 7 | Carlos Rodon, Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner |
2015 | 480 | 30 | 5 | Dansby Swanson, Andrew Benintendi |
2016 | 63 | 0 | 1 | Austin Hays |
2017 | 0 | 6 | 1 | Kyle Wright |
2018 | 82 | 0 | 1 | Nico Hoerner |
2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | None |
2020 | 4 | 82 | 3 | Garrett Crochet, Spencer Strider |
2021 | 0 | 28 | 1 | Chase Silseth |
2022 | 393 | 16 | 5 | Zach Neto, Ben Joyce |
2023 | 1077 | 122 | 7 | Paul Skenes, Nolan Schanel, Wyatt Langford |
The post With Early MLB Debuts From Paul Skenes & Others, The 2023 Draft Class Is Already Setting Records appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The post Why Is Charlie Condon Struggling In His Pro Debut? appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>Through his first 16 games and 70 plate appearances with High-A Spokane, Condon has hit .219/.286/.344 with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 21:2. That amounts to a 30% strikeout rate and 2.9% walk rate, respectively.
Condon’s strikeout rate is the primary concern at the moment. While it’s true we’re still very much in small sample size territory, it’s also true that strikeout rate is one of the quickest offensive stats to stabilize.
Condon’s already cleared the 60 plate appearance “stabilization point” for strikeout rate, so perhaps there’s more signal than noise here for a player who entered the draft as one of the most well-rounded and accomplished hitters in the class.
In a down 2024 draft, Condon ranked as a consensus top-two player in the class and finished as the No. 1 player on the BA Draft board thanks to a strong combination of power and bat-to-ball skills. Here’s how we described his offensive game in our draft report:
“Condon has a special blend of power and pure hitting ability. He has a chance for 70-grade raw power, with the ability to homer to all fields and some of the best top-end exit velocities in the class. He has more pure bat-to-ball skills than might be expected of a tall hitter with such long levers.”
Strikeouts weren’t ever a huge question for Condon in college. He struck out at a 17.7% clip as a redshirt freshman with Georgia in 2023, then lowered that figure to 13.5% as a redshirt sophomore in 2024. Overall, his career strikeout rate in college stands at a perfectly respectable 15.4% clip.
That said, he was unique as a 6-foot-6, long-levered hitter at the top of the class. On a recent Baseball America Hot Sheet interview, Condon spoke to the benefits and challenges that come with his size in the batter’s box:
“It can play to your advantage if you know how to use it,” Condon said about his long levers. “So for me, it was about being really good at learning how to use it to my advantage and not letting it tie myself up. There’s a lot of things that you have to get down when you’ve got long arms … It can create a long swing, it can create casting and coming around the ball and stuff like that. So for me, it was about learning to use my levers on the back end of my swing and using my extension as an advantage while also keeping things short and tight and compact to my body in the first half of my swing.
“Just being able to be close to my back shoulder and still have a direct path to the ball even with my long arms, and then once that barrel kind of turns and gets out front the extension and my length that way also helps me stay on the ball longer, be on plane longer and keep the ball in play and handle the barrel better as well.”
So far, pro pitchers have managed to more consistently expose the length of Condon’s swing compared to SEC and other college arms. Specifically, he has shown issues making contact with spin and off-speed offerings.
The table below shows Condon’s contact and swing decisions through his first 14 games and 61 plate appearances in the minors:
Miss% | zMiss% | Chase% | Swing% | |
Overall | 36.60% | 25.00% | 29.50% | 44.90% |
vs. Fastballs | 26.90% | 22.20% | 29.40% | 49.50% |
vs. Breaking Balls | 52.90% | 31.60% | 25.90% | 35.10% |
vs. Offspeed | 33.30% | 22.20% | 46.20% | 65.20% |
He’s struggled to put the bat on the ball against breaking pitches, and he’s also struggled to hold back on his swing decisions vs. offspeed pitchers out of the zone.
He’s been far better against fastballs and so far has had few issues handling top-end velocity, which is consistent with his production from college. Below are the same data points from his two-year Georgia career, by way of Synergy Sports:
Miss% | zMiss% | Chase% | Swing% | |
Overall | 21% | 11% | 27% | 43% |
vs. Fastballs | 13% | 9% | 28% | 47% |
vs. Breaking Balls | 29% | 13% | 23% | 38% |
vs. Offspeed | 30% | 18% | 29% | 44% |
So we can see that most of the swing-and-miss in Condon’s game has always come against non-fastballs. Despite that, college pitchers still attacked him with fastballs—which he feasted on—nearly 54% of the time.
Condon will now face pitchers who have better velocity, better breaking balls, better offspeed pitches and, perhaps most importantly, a better understanding of how to locate those pitches and exploit hitter weaknesses.
Finding the barrel more often against spin and spitting on soft stuff out of the zone will be Condon’s first test to pass in pro ball.
The post Why Is Charlie Condon Struggling In His Pro Debut? appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The post 2024 High School Baseball Showcase All-Stars appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The high school competition level varies significantly throughout the country. Pitting the best players against one another in various tournaments, showcases and All-America games, as well as with USA Baseball’s national team against international competition, carries significant weight for draft models and scouting processes.
Below is our 2024 high school showcase all-star team, which is made up of standout performers and notable prospects from a number of events, including most prominently the East Coast Pro, Area Code Games, Perfect Game National, Perfect Game All-American Classic and USA Baseball’s 18U national team and trials roster.
This year’s high school class appears to be an improvement from a down 2024 group of preps. There’s also a distinct West Coast flavor, as 16 of our current top 25 high school prospects hail from the Western half of the country while 10 of the 13 players in the 2025 class below are from the West Coast.
LSU, Texas and Vanderbilt lead all schools with three commits each, while one member of the 2026 high school class made the team this year.
HS Rank: 50
Commit: LSU
There’s something about Texas high school catchers. Serna follows in the footsteps of both Blake Mitchell and Cade Arrambide as a Texas-based LSU commit who, at this point in the calendar, stands among the best backstops in the class. Serna blew up the Area Code Games this summer by going 4-for-9 (.444) with two home runs, a triple and a double at Blair Field ballpark that has typically been difficult for high school hitters to show power. That’s not the case for Serna, who has tons of strength in his hulking, 6-foot-2, 225-pound frame and a power-over-hit offensive profile. In addition to his huge power potential, Serna has double-plus arm strength that will be an asset for him at catcher if he can maintain his actions and develop his blocking and receiving.
HS Rank: Not ranked
Commit: Texas
Fien helped power USA Baseball’s 18U national team to a gold medal in this year’s WBSC America’s qualifier in Panama, leading the team in total bases (17) and OPS (1.109) as the starting first baseman and three-hole hitter. Fien has a tall, strong frame at 6-foot-3, 200 pounds and has experience at third base, the outfield and first base. In 13 logged games this summer, Fien hit .471/.537/.882 with two homers, eight doubles and more walks (six) than strikeouts (four). He showed an advanced approach and power to the pull side with a righthanded swing that is simple and explosive. Though he played first base for Team USA, his huge arm strength would fit nicely at third or right field.
HS Rank: 4
Commit: LSU
If you’re not familiar with Corona (Calif.) High, you will be after scanning through the rest of this list. Ebel is one of three prospects from the school who makes this summer all-star team, and the trio will make the program one of the most prospect-heavy high school teams in recent memory this spring. A 6-foot-3, 190-pound infielder and lefthanded hitter, Ebel is one of the most well-rounded offensive players in the class, hitting .417/.533/.500 with more walks (three) than strikeouts (two) at this year’s Area Code Games. He has a keen eye and rarely expands the zone with a clean lefthanded swing that should allow him to hit for both average and power. Ebel is a below-average runner and might fit best at third base, where he has the actions and arm strength to profile nicely. He’s the son of Dodgers third base coach Dino Ebel and will be 17 years old on draft day.
HS Rank: 10
Commit: Texas
Cunningham is a 5-foot-10, 178-pound lefthanded hitting shortstop with some of the best pure bat-to-ball skills in the class. He earned the starting shortstop job for Team USA this summer, then was named the MVP of the WBSC America’s Qualifier while leading the club to a gold medal with 10 hits and 12 RBIs and slashing .417/.483/.542. Cunningham has less physicality than other players in the class, but his hands in the box are snappy and direct to the ball with a level, functional swing that allows him to spray line drives over the entire field and minimize strikeouts. He’s also a plus runner and strong athlete who should have the actions to stick in the middle of the infield and be a good defender at either shortstop or second base.
HS Rank: 5
Commit: Vanderbilt
Another member of the Corona High trio, Carlson stands out as one of the most impressive two-way players in this year’s class. He’s an advanced defensive shortstop who boasts clean actions and one of the strongest infield throwing arms of the class. On the mound this summer, he has sat around 94 mph and touched 97. In 31 logged games from 2024, Carlson has hit .309/.473/.529 with as many walks (17) as strikeouts (17), and scouts were just as excited about his pure stuff on the mound at the Area Code Games this summer when he pitched 93-96 mph and showed a tight-spinning curveball in the upper 70s.
HS Rank: 8
Commit: LSU
Moss has an exciting combination of bat speed and strike zone discipline. A 6-foot, 182-pound outfielder and lefthanded hitter, Moss posted a .333/.520/.639 slash line with 13 walks and just six strikeouts in 17 Synergy-logged games between PG National, USA Baseball’s 18U training camp, East Coast Pro, Area Code Games and PG’s All-America game. His batting eye appears to be one of the best in the class, and while he’s not the most physical hitter of the group, his hand speed should allow him to generate impact and hit for more power as he develops. He is an offensive-oriented hitter who can play center field now but could profile better in a corner at the next level.
HS Rank: 47
Commit: Vanderbilt
De Brun played an occasional left field and hit at the bottom of USA Baseball’s lineup this summer, but he made the most of his limited playing time to be one of just three hitters (along with Gavin Fien and Kayson Cunningham) to finish the tournament with an OPS north of 1.000. A 5-foot-9, 180-pound outfielder and lefthanded hitter, de Brun slashed .408/.597/.776 in 23 Synergy-logged games this summer with 15 walks, 11 hit by pitches and just eight strikeouts. A small but strong hitter, de Brun stays within the zone on his swing decisions and makes tons of contact with a level, direct swing that should lead to more singles and doubles than over-the-fence power. He is a plus runner and should be able to stick in center field thanks to above-average arm strength.
HS Rank: 16
Commit: Stanford
Sell is a lean, 6-foot-1, 185-pound outfielder and lefthanded hitter who some scouts believed was the best hitter at this year’s Area Code Games. He went 5-for-14 (.357) at the event with a double, walk and four strikeouts, showing a simple, quiet offensive setup and the bat speed that could allow him to become an above-average pure hitter. His most impressive at-bat of the event came against Seth Hernandez, the top prep arm in the class, when he got into a 2-2 count and then flicked a 98-mph fastball on the outer third on a line to the opposite field for a sharp single. It’s a contact-over-power offensive profile at the moment, but Sell has a projectable frame that should allow him to add more strength and pop in the future. He’s a plus runner who accelerates quickly and should have the speed and defensive instincts to stick in center field and be an asset there, though some background as an infielder could add some defensive versatility to his game.
HS Rank: 2
Commit: Vanderbilt
Hernandez has been the established top pitcher in the 2025 class for a long time now, but scouts were genuinely excited about his talents as a hitter this summer, as well. He has legitimate bat speed and raw power as a righthanded hitter—at PGN he managed a 101-mph exit velocity and had the ninth-best max barrel speed recorded among 181 players—but his upside is still greater on the mound, where he is already drawing Dylan Lesko comparisons. As a pitcher, Hernandez sits in the mid 90s and has been up to 100 mph with an outlier changeup that features 12 mph+ separation from his fastball and features tremendous movement and deception. While the change is his best secondary and a driver of the Lesko comps, he can also spin the baseball well, throwing both a two-plane curveball and harder slider that give him more pure stuff. He struck out five of the eight batters he faced at the Area Code Games this summer and generated five whiffs with the cambio.
HS Rank: 18
Commit: Mississippi State
Harmon has an elite pitcher’s frame at 6-foot-5, 185 pounds and was arguably the single most impressive prospect at this year’s East Coast Pro. He pitched in multiple outings, touched 98 mph both times, sat in the 93-96 mph range and flashed two breaking ball variants to go with a solid mid-80s changeup. The ease with which Harmon generates his velocity is a separator—it looks like his playing catch while touching 97-98 mph—and his delivery, balance, athleticism and clean arm action portend above-average control in the future. At the moment, he’s a fastball-dominant pitcher and will need to sharpen each of his secondaries. He has a chance to grow into plenty more strength and power with his highly projectable frame.
HS Rank: 7
Commit: Uncommitted
Schoolcraft is the top-ranked uncommitted player in the class. A standout on the mound at the Area Code Games, he is a legitimate two-way player. His 6-foot-8, 220-pound frame and lefthanded throwing ability is an excellent starting point, but Schoolcraft also averaged 94-mph in his brief outing, touched 96 and struck out four of the seven batters he faced. Maintaining his delivery and release point will be keys for him moving forward given his colossal frame, but he filled up the zone with the fastball nicely at the Area Code Games and also showed solid feel to land a low-80s changeup. He also throws a low-80s slider. As a hitter, Schoolcraft has massive power potential at first base, but his upside potential as a lefty on the mound might be too much for teams to pass up.
HS Rank: Not ranked
Commit: Virginia Tech
Grim doesn’t have the sort of top-end pure stuff of other pitchers on this list, but it’ll be hard to match his summer performance given how dominant he was at both the East Coast Pro and Area Code Games. The 6-foot-1, 190-pound righthander struck out 11 of the 19 batters he faced across two games and six innings of work, while allowing just one hit (a single) and not walking a batter. He pitches in the 90-94 mph range with his fastball but attacks the zone effectively with the pitch and threw it for strikes more than 70% of the time in this sample. Grim also has a slider, curveball and changeup that need to be sharpened up, but his competitiveness and command on the mound were impressive against the best hitters in the class.
HS Rank: 29
Commit: Texas
Crossland is a big, physical righthander with power stuff to go along with his extra-large, 6-foot-5, 241-pound frame. This summer, he has sat 93-94 mph with a fastball that has been up to 97 and is used to dominate the top of the zone and generate whiffs. His go-to breaking ball is a hard, tight slider in the mid 80s that looks like a plus pitch now with late action and two-plane biting shape. Crossland will also mix in a downer curveball in the mid-70s and changeup in the mid-80s. He struck out three of the four batters he faced at Perfect Game’s All-America game, but his inconsistent command showed up at the Area Code Games, where he walked four of the 10 batters he faced.
HS Rank: 19 (2006)
Commit: Auburn
Borthwick looks the part as one of the top pitchers in the 2025 class thanks to an extra-large, 6-foot-6, 245-pound frame and a loud three-pitch mix. Scouts will have to wait a year to bear down on him fully, however, as he’s a member of the 2026 class. He filled up the zone at this year’s East Coast Pro, where he struck out six of the 12 batters he faced, walked one and averaged 92-93 mph with a fastball that touched 95. His low-80s slider, a three-quarter break with solid movement, looked like his best secondary at the ECP, but he also flashed a nice changeup that he throws with fastball arm speed to round out the repertoire. He’s already ranked highly in next year’s class but should have an up arrow next to his name given his performance this summer.
The post 2024 High School Baseball Showcase All-Stars appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The post Future Projection Episode 93: MLB Draft Standouts From The Summer Circuit appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>Ben breaks down a few high-upside pitching prospects from the 2026 class who wowed him this summer, while Carlos does the same for two prep righties in the upcoming 2025 high school class. The two wonder if spin rate monsters are becoming increasingly common, try and see where Seth Hernandez stacks up with recent elite pitching prospects, talk through a handful of talented two-way players and lots more.
The show closes with a listener email asking about the top international prospects from the most recent class and how those players up in a theoretical international draft.
Ben Badler shares 50 scouting reports breaking down the top performing underclassmen at the 2024 Area Code Games.
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The post Future Projection Episode 93: MLB Draft Standouts From The Summer Circuit appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>The post Explaining MLB Rookie Eligibility, PPI Callup Target Date And September Roster Rules appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
]]>This year, that date was Aug. 16. Players called up to make their MLB debuts on that date or later will retain rookie eligibility in 2025, provided that they do not exceed 130 at-bats or 50 innings this summer.
This is a key consideration for players who are expected to be in play for a Rookie of the Year award, because eligible ROY winners can earn their club a Prospect Promotion Incentive draft pick.
This was a factor in the Nationals’ decision to wait until after Aug. 16 to call up outfielder Dylan Crews from Triple-A Rochester. His callup date was Aug. 26.
Crews will gain valuable MLB experience this summer, while remaining rookie eligible next season. If he makes Washington’s 2025 Opening Day roster—all but a certainty—and wins National League ROY—not at all a certainty—then he would earn the Nationals a draft pick after the first round in 2026.
PPI picks in the 2023 and 2024 drafts have fallen around No. 30 overall and came attached with a bonus pool amount nearing $3 million.
Conversely, the Rays called up third baseman Junior Caminero from Triple-A on Aug. 13, just three days shy of the target date. But his case is more complicated because he accrued 10 days of MLB service in 2023.
To keep Caminero under 45 career service days, the Rays would have had to push his callup date back to about Aug. 26.
Tampa Bay had been waiting all season to plug Caminero’s bat into their lineup, but injuries at Triple-A had thwarted those plans and he played in just 53 games. In the end, the Rays went against type by calling up Caminero, thus foregoing PPI considerations, as they chase wins in 2024 and help get their roster ready to compete in 2025.
The Prospect Promotion Incentive was introduced with the 2022 Collective Bargaining Agreement, an initiative designed to curb service time manipulation when teams create Opening Day rosters.
But PPI has implications beyond Opening Day.
In order to keep the following season’s rookies eligible for PPI—and thus potential draft pick compensation—teams need to know the date on the calendar at which they can safely call up top prospects. Knowing this date helps them thread the needle by helping their top prospects gain MLB experience while also retaining rookie eligibility for the following season.
The callup target date in 2022 was Aug. 22, a week later than it was this year because the season started a week later following the lockout. The D-backs called up Corbin Carroll on Aug. 29 and the Orioles called up Gunnar Henderson on Aug. 31.
That duo gained a month of valuable MLB experience while retaining rookie eligibility for 2023.
In fact, the dynamic duo of Carroll and Henderson went on to win Rookie of the Year honors in each league to net the D-backs and Orioles the 31st and 32nd overall picks in the 2024 draft.
The callup target date in 2023 was Aug. 18. On that day, the Cardinals called up Masyn Winn and the Angels called up Nolan Schanuel. And while those players are not Rookie of the Year favorites this year, their callup dates last year were not coincidence.
Those players add PPI eligibility this year that attaches for the 2025 and 2026 seasons as well. Should Winn or Schanuel finish top three in MVP voting in either season, then his club gains a PPI draft pick. The same is true for every player listed here, except Jasson Dominguez and Curtis Mead, for whom PPI eligibility did not attach this season because they didn’t spend the season in the big leagues.
A player is considered a rookie so long as he does not exceed the following thresholds:
• 130 career at-bats
• 50 career innings
• 45 career days on an active MLB roster
Note that players can go right up to those thresholds and still qualify as a rookie. They must not exceed them.
Time spent on the major league injured list does not count against rookie eligibility. However, more than 60 days of service—active or inactive—removes the potential for PPI eligibility.
Once upon a time, rookie qualification rules were murkier.
Prior to 2020, MLB teams could expand their September rosters from 25 players all the way to 40, i.e. every player on the 40-man roster.
Today, rosters number 26 players from April through August. In September, teams expand their rosters to 28 players.
All service time accrued on the active roster is created equal today, but that was not always the case.
Prior to 2020, big league time accrued in September did not count against rookie eligibility. So for example, the Rays called up second baseman Brandon Lowe on Aug. 5, 2018. He played semi-regularly for nearly two months but accrued just 129 at-bats.
He had nearly 60 days of MLB service—well over the 45-day rookie limit—but because his September time did not count against rookie eligibility, he was classified as a rookie in 2019 and finished third in the American League ROY voting.
The post Explaining MLB Rookie Eligibility, PPI Callup Target Date And September Roster Rules appeared first on College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America.
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